Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 15.419131 17.429509 19.667237 22.354377 25.508878 29.113166 33.569587
2025-10-19 12.375771 14.869070 17.864310 21.767166 26.776688 33.071236 41.708385
2025-10-26 11.124351 13.943720 17.517398 22.457016 29.232048 38.387642 52.032408
2025-11-02 9.878054 12.782884 16.618287 22.167965 30.190375 41.690834 60.052862
2025-11-09 8.881973 11.799811 15.785138 21.778650 30.842071 44.523367 67.758695
2025-11-16 8.118223 11.035210 15.139730 21.528311 31.590895 47.519360 76.188329
2025-11-23 7.390825 10.241599 14.355025 20.948238 31.706015 49.461428 83.127896
2025-11-30 6.885796 9.719072 13.907294 20.814835 32.483760 52.563762 92.712438
2025-12-07 6.269945 8.977278 13.055552 19.934762 31.881703 53.144228 97.550340
2025-12-14 5.683611 8.235546 12.141032 18.855174 30.793604 52.666681 100.122151
2025-12-21 5.302178 7.782699 11.644619 18.423214 30.793631 54.203139 107.228130
2025-12-28 5.474972 8.210770 12.594126 20.562646 35.765310 66.195919 140.598434
2026-01-04 5.325846 8.120807 12.699979 21.257308 38.172113 73.608173 165.937710
2026-01-11 4.965633 7.658673 12.139523 20.675937 37.976455 75.420882 177.614525
2026-01-18 4.840987 7.580140 12.232054 21.325627 40.388417 83.529559 209.150745
2026-01-25 4.584892 7.258898 11.868981 21.054214 40.801507 87.028507 228.551366
2026-02-01 4.337561 6.936503 11.478927 20.688837 40.956585 89.924937 247.155861
2026-02-08 4.129082 6.668997 11.169051 20.453829 41.372622 93.568066 269.648564
2026-02-15 3.895836 6.343627 10.729165 19.909131 41.000469 95.070253 285.336290
2026-02-22 3.734279 6.137670 10.499485 19.783832 41.608301 99.373789 313.202709
2026-03-01 3.497668 5.782646 9.963343 18.956931 40.408148 98.363997 320.104737
2026-03-08 3.254236 5.403903 9.361044 17.941850 38.635155 95.423738 318.287081
2026-03-15 3.098280 5.179580 9.046691 17.535472 38.357410 96.901937 336.004140